1/7/2009
Wednesday morning

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Large cap cyclicals look promising. Intl emerging markets should have good returns. Junk Bond funds may do well. --------------------------------------------------
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That does seem strange though with INTL because according to a 1-day chart for todays activity, it started flat at 15 and didnt go to 15 1/4 until almost 10:50am. Then around 11:15am it hit 15 3/8 (High) and dropped to 14 5/8 around 11:45am. From there on it just puttered around hitting 15 1/4 again a second time at around 2:30. This gathered from yahoo and aproximations of times. If they charged you 15.5, I would tell them to stick it.
I think the general idea of emerging markets (or whatever you want to call em) is a good one. Closed end funds are a reasonable idea, especially if theres one in a country or area you like selling at a discount greater than its historical discount. I like the idea of picking country funds, and becoming informed about particular economies.. but Ive had a fair amount of Intl. Econ. to help make sense of things. Id say be careful about Argentina at the moment... there appears to be serious friction between the finance minister Cavallo and the president, and strong adherence to Cavallos policies would seem necessary to keep the Argentine economy doing OK... if theres enough friction and Cavallo is sacked (or leaves because he doesnt like the way policy is headed), things could get bad for foreign investors (i.e. devaluation from the current 1:1 ratio being maintained with the dollar).
Recent correction in Asian markets was healthy, expect sustained rebound. Latin America off to a good start this year; Mexican bolsa at all-time high. Opportunities in India look promising. (Fidelity Emerging Markets, Acorn Intl).
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